This afternoon Udo Ulfkotte, the German co-organizer of the anti-Islamization demonstration in Brussels on 11 September, called off the demonstration, which earlier was banned by the Brussels authorities. During the past weeks Ulfkotte claimed that he would bring 20,000 demonstrators to the Belgian and European capital. On his website he announced today that the demo will not take place for security reasons since “extremists prepared to use violence can abuse the demonstration for violent actions.”
The Danish and British co-organizers have immediately expelled Ulfkotte from SIOE (Stop the Islamization of Europe) and say his decision to cancel the demo is “unilateral.” They announce that the demo will go ahead as planned. Anders Gravers, the Danish co-president of SIOE, who was in Brussels today, was told by the Brussels authorities that there may be “terrorist attacks against the demo.” According to the Danish and British SIOE branches the news that there will be a terrorist attack in Brussels is “the final desperate tactic from the authorities” to prevent the demonstration from taking place.
So far Belgium has never been the scene of Muslim terrorism, although Islamists frequently use the country as a logistical support base for actions elsewhere. The Madrid train bombings of 11 March 2004 were planned in Belgium. It has even been suggested that the Belgian authorities have struck a deal with Islamist terrorists, agreeing to turn a blind eye to conspiracies hatched on Belgian soil in exchange for immunity from attack. In a statement from GIA, the Algerian section of al-Qaeda, addressing the Belgian King Albert II but posted to the French embassy in Brussels in June 1999, the Algerian terror movement explicitly referred to such a deal.
This makes it very unlikely that there will be a terrorist attack in Brussels next Tuesday. Unless the Islamists regard an anti-Islamization demonstration in Brussels, even though banned by the Brussels authorities, as a unilateral breach of the deal by the Belgians.
* Which is most likely the case.
The strategy of the Belgian authorities might simply be to drag the case out in order to make it difficult for the organizers to make arrangements for their demonstration. As things now stand the demonstration is still illegal.