Ayaan Hirsi Ali: Cut & Run Won't Do


* Sheik Yer’mami is a great admirer of Ayaan Ali Hirsi, but a political analyst she is not.   Here’s her latest thoughts on the U.S. elections, just because we haven’t heard from her for a long time:

The Australian

AS the new US president, Barack Obama would at first have a honeymoon period with the Muslim world: a continuation, really, of the honeymoon he has enjoyed as a black man rising to the heights of power in the most powerful nation on earth, America.

But Obama says he is determined to find and kill Osama bin Laden. He says that the frontier in the war on terror is now in Afghanistan, a hot spot for jihadis since the 1970s, where he wants to send more troops. In other words, he would continue the Bush policy, only with more competence.

In short order, this increased US presence and the collateral damage it would cause in Afghanistan and the region would end Obama’s honeymoon. It would remind the Islamists and their sympathisers across the Muslim world that Obama would not act out of solidarity with people based on the colour of his skin or because of his origins in Kenya, but as the commander-in-chief protecting US national interests above all.

As a result, much of his popularity would vanish. Perhaps it would even fall to the level of George W. Bush. I’m sure many would come to think that Obama had betrayed them.

Obama has criticised Bush for “not talking to the enemy”, particularly in the case of Iran. So the world would expect Obama to obey all the diplomatic traffic rules and follow all the procedures to try to persuade President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the Iranian authorities to abandon their project to build a nuclear bomb.

But when Iran refuses to give up its bomb despite the eloquent entreaties of the new US president, Obama would be forced to act. So, after talking to Iran, he would likely end up at the same spot where Bush is. That wouldn’t make him very popular in Iran or with others who oppose America’s use of its military might.

At the same time, the original impetus of Obama’s campaign was his pledge to withdraw from Iraq in 16months. There is little doubt that if Obama were to implement this pledge, jihadis in Iraq and across the world, who see history in the millennial terms of a long fight against the crusaders, would feel victorious.

As the Obama campaign has developed, he has emphasised that he would withdraw responsibly. This term is open to interpretation. I don’t think it is responsible to pull out of Iraq in 16months, unless you want the jihadis dancing in jubilation.

The message such a precipitous withdrawal would send to the jihadis is the same message Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero sent when he rapidly withdrew forces from the coalition in Iraq after the Spanish election in March 2004: if you hang on long enough, you can scare the West away.

More important than all of this is the consensus that developed in the US campaign that America must end its energy dependence on the Middle East within 10 years. This raises some profound questions about the future of the liberal world order.

When the US effects such a strategic withdrawal from the Middle East, it will leave the region open to the energy-hungry Chinese and to Russia. Unlike the US, they care little about democracy, human rights, borders or boundaries. They will be more than willing to come to terms with even the most repressive Islamist regimes as long as the oil flows their way, or through their pipelines.

The US may well be able, in this way, to end its conflicts in the Middle East. But the people of the region, particularly women, will pay the price.


Ayaan Hirsi Ali is the author of Infidel

2 thoughts on “Ayaan Hirsi Ali: Cut & Run Won't Do”

  1. It all depends on who s going to win. Hirsi Ali seems to know the answer.
    Everything still remains to be seen.

    I think if Obama wins, which seems to be the most likely, but not absolute, scenario, he will probably do none of what he has said he will.

  2. The American troops are worn out, after deployments over and over.
    How will the people react when the US has no other choice but to bring back the draft??? McCain has said that could be possible. Have you talked to troops who have been there multiple times?
    I feel for the people in that region who want a different life.
    But all the foreign men who come over, why don’t they sign up for the military to help their country.
    I admire Ayaan Hirsi Ali for her courage, the ordeal she went thru when Theo van Gogh was killed and the death threat against her life.
    Are the same soldiers from the West the ones who have to put their life on the line over and over. Their family lives are being torn apart. The Army National Guard Reserves, who don’t suppose to go overseas are going for multiple deployments. They are having problems geting jobs when they come back and they don’t get the same benefits when they return as the regular Army.
    There is NO sign of an end in this tremendous conflict.
    How many more years, how many more dead bodies, mingles bodies, torn up lives and torn up families.

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